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Data: When will COVID-19 end in Southeast Asia?

Data: When will COVID-19 end in Southeast Asia?

Data estimates provided by the Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD’s Data-Driven Innovation Lab have revealed when the COVID-19 pandemic is expected to end around the world.

These estimates, as updated on 27 April 2020, include information on Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and India, as shown below:


The data predicts the pandemic will be 97% near its end by 4 June 2020, before hitting 99% 16 days later (20 June) and finally, 100% on 28 August.


The Philippines

In the Philippines, it is estimated that COVID-19 will be 97% to the end on 10 May 2020, and then 2% more on 22 May. It is estimated to end fully on 6 July.



As for Malaysia, the data shows an estimated 97% end on 5 May 2020, before it reaches 99% 13 days later (19 May) and, two months later, 100% on 7 July.



The data predicts a 97% end to the outbreak in Singapore by 24 May 2020, reaching 99% a week later on 1 June; it is then likely to reach 100% over a month later, on 15 July.



Lastly, in India, the virus outbreak is estimated to end 97% on 24 May 2020 as well, and 99% slightly over a week later (3 June), before 100% on 31 July.


Snapshot on the pandemic’s overall estimated end in the world

Overall, in the world, the pandemic is estimated to end 97% on 29 May 2020, reaching 2% more less than a month later on 15 June; Above all this, it is finally estimated to end worldwide on 26 November.

*Note: All data provided here are just estimates used strictly for educational and research purposes, as highlighted by the Lab.

The full estimates available can be found here.

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